LTV Calculator (Simple Gross Margin Adjusted)

Simplified annuity-style gross LTV using ARPA, margin, and churn in shared time units.

Overview

Use as a rough ceiling before layering payback calculators. Expansion ARR and curved cohort churn are consciously absent—flag that when quoting it.

When to use this calculator

Rule of thumb

This LTV sketch ignores cohort curves and expansion nuance. Use it beside payback and CAC, not instead of them.

Terms used in this calculator

LTV
A simple lifetime earnings sketch from average revenue, margin, and churn—not a prophecy.
CAC
Acquisition spend you assign divided by how many fresh paying customers you credit in that same window.
Churn rate (logo churn)
What share of the starting cohort you lost inside the timeframe you framed.

Calculator

Estimated customer LTV $5,497.14

Results are simplified estimates for educational purposes only and should not be treated as financial, accounting, legal, or tax advice. See our disclaimer for details.

Formula

Approximation: (average revenue × gross margin) ÷ churn rate decimal. Inputs must align (month ARPU with monthly churn, etc.).

Example calculation

Using the default example values from the JSON seed for this tool:

Avg revenue per account / mo
148
Gross margin
78
Monthly logo churn
2.1

Result: $5,497.14 (Estimated customer LTV)

How to interpret this result

A simplified LTV using ARPA, gross margin, and churn in the same time basis.

Expansion revenue and cohort curvature are not in this shortcut—upgrade to cohort tools for precision.

Pair with CAC and payback for decisions, not LTV alone.

Common mistakes

  • Mixing monthly churn with annual contract price without conversion.
  • Ignoring gross margin when quoting “revenue LTV.”
  • Extrapolating one enterprise cohort to the whole base.

What to do next

Pair churn and ARPU sensitivities next—tiny churn edits move this LTV model fast.

How to improve this result

  • Improve gross margin with pricing discipline and supplier terms.
  • Ship onboarding that lands the “aha” moment inside the trial window you measure.
  • Layer expansion offers only when usage data shows room—avoid forced upsell churn.

Recommended tools

FAQ

What churn basis?
Use the same period as revenue—for annual revenue totals, pair with annual churn figures or convert churn to a monthly rate first.
Does this forecast cash timing?
No—collections and prepayments still live off-model.
Why wildly high LTV?
Churn artificially low—or margin overstated—investigate both.
Should expansion lift LTV?
This base model ignores deliberate upsell; adjust ARPU externally if expansion is systemic.
Pair with?
CAC, payback, and NRR/GRR calculators so one ratio never rides solo.

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